Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaldense to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.55
Caldense vs Guarani MG preview and prediction
The match
The Mineiro 2 sees Caldense take on Guarani MG on Wednesday 17 June, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Caldense's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with CAP 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Caldense and 0.9 for Guarani MG. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Caldense 1–0 Guarani MG. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caldense44%fair 2.27 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @2.88
Guarani MG32%fair 3.09 · @3.20
1.97Expected goals
1.10Caldense xG
0.88Guarani MG xG
43%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Caldense 1.1 – 0.9 Guarani MG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caldense to win✗
44%
2.27
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caldense / FT Caldense✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.55
–
Form
Caldense – last 3
DWL
14 Jun
@ CAP
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs BOA
1–0
W
30 May
@ Uberaba
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Guarani MG – last 2
WL
13 Jun
vs Mamoré
2–1
W
31 May
@ BOA
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caldense and Guarani MG.
What is the prediction for Caldense vs Guarani MG?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Caldense vs Guarani MG?
On our numbers Caldense have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guarani MG 32%.
How many goals will there be in Caldense vs Guarani MG?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caldense vs Guarani MG?
Our predicted score is Caldense 1–0 Guarani MG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Caldense vs Guarani MG?
Caldense vs Guarani MG (Mineiro 2) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mineiro 2 · Brazil
Uberaba1
CAP1