Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Caldense to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCAP to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.93
CAP vs Caldense preview and prediction
The match
CAP host Caldense in the Mineiro 2 on Sunday 14 June, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for CAP and 1.1 for Caldense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: CAP 39%, draw 26%, Caldense 36%.
Value angle: Caldense to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: CAP 1–1 Caldense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CAP39%fair 2.59 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.88
Caldense36%fair 2.80 · @3.00
2.18Expected goals
1.12CAP xG
1.06Caldense xG
43%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: CAP 1.1 – 1.1 Caldense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CAP to win✗
39%
2.59
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CAP / FT CAP✗
21%
4.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.93
–
Form
CAP – last 1
L
30 May
vs Mamoré
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Caldense – last 2
WL
7 Jun
vs BOA
1–0
W
30 May
@ Uberaba
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CAP and Caldense.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win CAP vs Caldense?
On our numbers CAP have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Caldense 36%.
How many goals will there be in CAP vs Caldense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CAP vs Caldense?
Our predicted score is CAP 1–1 Caldense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is CAP vs Caldense?
CAP vs Caldense (Mineiro 2) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mineiro 2 · Brazil
