A Lyga · Lithuania · FK TransINVEST stadium
TransINVEST Vilnius
Kauno Žalgiris
TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction & analysis
TransINVEST Vilnius or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Value bet: TransINVEST Vilnius to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: TransINVEST Vilnius 1.8 – 1.0 Kauno Žalgiris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
TransINVEST Vilnius hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 20% for Kauno Žalgiris.
TransINVEST Vilnius have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Kauno Žalgiris have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 for TransINVEST Vilnius, 1.0 for Kauno Žalgiris). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, TransINVEST Vilnius have won 0, Kauno Žalgiris have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Our pick is TransINVEST Vilnius or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is better than our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, TransINVEST Vilnius to win at 1.95 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | TransINVEST Vilnius to win ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | TransINVEST Vilnius or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.44 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.80 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | TransINVEST Vilnius ahead at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.43 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT TransINVEST Vilnius / FT TransINVEST Vilnius ✓ | 35% | 2.83 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.80 | – |
Form
TransINVEST Vilnius – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Panevėžys | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Hegelmann Litauen | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Džiugas Telšiai | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | @ Banga | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Suduva Marijampole | 1–2 | L |
Kauno Žalgiris – last 6
| 5 Nov | @ FC Lugano | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Oct | @ Hegelmann Litauen | 4–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Oct | vs Brann | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Oct | @ Suduva Marijampole | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | @ Brighton | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
| 16 Aug 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris v TransINVEST Vilnius | 1–1 |
| 20 Jun 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius v Kauno Žalgiris | 1–2 |
More A Lyga predictions
Banga1
FK Zalgiris Vilnius2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
76%@1.22
✓
FT
Panevėžys1
Šiauliai2
1Panevėžys to win
65%@1.60
✗
FT
Suduva Marijampole2
Džiugas Telšiai1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.25
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our pick is TransINVEST Vilnius or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris?
On our numbers TransINVEST Vilnius have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kauno Žalgiris 20%.
How many goals will there be in TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris?
TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at FK TransINVEST stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.