A Lyga · Lithuania · Marijampole Football Arena

Suduva Marijampole

WLLDD
2–1
FT

Džiugas Telšiai

LWDLL

Suduva Marijampole vs Džiugas Telšiai prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSuduva Marijampole to win ✓63% · @1.53
Double chanceSuduva Marijampole or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.88

Win chances

Suduva Marijampole63%fair 1.60 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.80
Džiugas Telšiai17%fair 5.98 · @5.00
2.69Expected goals
1.86Suduva Marijampole xG
0.82Džiugas Telšiai xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Suduva Marijampole 1.9 – 0.8 Džiugas Telšiai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Suduva Marijampole are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 17% for Džiugas Telšiai.

Suduva Marijampole have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.0 per game. Džiugas Telšiai have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.

We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 for Suduva Marijampole, 0.8 for Džiugas Telšiai). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).

In their last 3 meetings, Suduva Marijampole have won 3, Džiugas Telšiai have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.3 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.33.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSuduva Marijampole to win ✓63%1.601.53
Double chanceSuduva Marijampole or draw ✓83%1.201.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.941.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.36
Half-time resultSuduva Marijampole ahead at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Suduva Marijampole / FT Suduva Marijampole ✓39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.88–

Form

Suduva Marijampole – last 6

WLLDDL
1 Novvs Banga2–1W
19 Octvs Kauno Žalgiris0–1L
10 Oct@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius0–4L
20 Sep@ Hegelmann Litauen1–1D
13 Sepvs FK Zalgiris Vilnius0–0D
9 Sep@ Kauno Žalgiris1–5L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Džiugas Telšiai – last 6

LWDLLD
31 Oct@ Šiauliai1–2L
25 Octvs Panevėžys2–1W
17 Octvs TransINVEST Vilnius3–3D
19 Sep@ Banga0–2L
6 Sep@ Kauno Žalgiris0–5L
31 Augvs Hegelmann Litauen2–2D
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Aug 2026Džiugas Telšiai v Suduva Marijampole0–2
21 Jun 2026Džiugas Telšiai v Suduva Marijampole1–2
19 Apr 2026Suduva Marijampole v Džiugas Telšiai3–2

More A Lyga predictions

FT Banga1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius2 241858 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓ FT Panevėžys1 Šiauliai2 652312 1Panevėžys to win 65%@1.60 ✗ FT TransINVEST Vilnius4 Kauno Žalgiris1 572320 1XTransINVEST Vilnius or draw 80%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Suduva Marijampole vs Džiugas Telšiai?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Suduva Marijampole vs Džiugas Telšiai?

On our numbers Suduva Marijampole have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Džiugas Telšiai 17%.

How many goals will there be in Suduva Marijampole vs Džiugas Telšiai?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

When is Suduva Marijampole vs Džiugas Telšiai?

Suduva Marijampole vs Džiugas Telšiai (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Marijampole Football Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.