A Lyga · Lithuania · Aukstaitijos Stadium

Panevėžys

WLWWL
1–2
FT

Šiauliai

WDLDL

Panevėžys vs Šiauliai prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Panevėžys to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultPanevėžys to win ✗65% · @1.60
Double chancePanevėžys or draw ✗88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.35

Win chances

Panevėžys65%fair 1.54 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @4.00
Šiauliai12%fair 8.02 · @4.20
2.87Expected goals
2.05Panevėžys xG
0.81Šiauliai xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Panevėžys 2.1 – 0.8 Šiauliai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Panevėžys are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 12% for Šiauliai.

Panevėžys have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Šiauliai have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. Panevėžys come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.9 goals (2.1 for Panevėžys, 0.8 for Šiauliai). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (10%).

In their last 2 meetings, Panevėžys have won 1, Šiauliai have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Panevėžys to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is better than our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPanevėžys to win ✗65%1.541.60
Double chancePanevėžys or draw ✗88%1.141.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.53
Half-time resultPanevėžys ahead at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Panevėžys / FT Panevėžys ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12%8.35–

Form

Panevėžys – last 6

WLWWLW
31 Octvs TransINVEST Vilnius1–0W
25 Oct@ Džiugas Telšiai1–2L
17 Octvs Banga2–1W
3 Oct@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius2–0W
13 Sepvs Kauno Žalgiris0–1L
7 Sep@ Hegelmann Litauen3–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Šiauliai – last 6

WDLDLL
31 Octvs Džiugas Telšiai2–1W
25 Oct@ Banga0–0D
20 Sepvs Kauno Žalgiris0–2L
13 Sepvs Hegelmann Litauen0–0D
6 Sep@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius0–1L
3 Sepvs Kauno Žalgiris0–1L
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Aug 2026Šiauliai v Panevėžys1–0
20 Jun 2026Panevėžys v Šiauliai3–2

More A Lyga predictions

FT Banga1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius2 241858 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓ FT Suduva Marijampole2 Džiugas Telšiai1 632117 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓ FT TransINVEST Vilnius4 Kauno Žalgiris1 572320 1XTransINVEST Vilnius or draw 80%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Panevėžys vs Šiauliai?

Our pick is Panevėžys to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Panevėžys vs Šiauliai?

On our numbers Panevėžys have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Šiauliai 12%.

How many goals will there be in Panevėžys vs Šiauliai?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Panevėžys vs Šiauliai?

Panevėžys vs Šiauliai (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Aukstaitijos Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.