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A Lyga · Lithuania

Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius prediction & analysis

80%
Footrivo pick

Kauno Žalgiris or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKauno Žalgiris to win ✗58% · @1.80
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.65

Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius preview and prediction

The match

The A Lyga sees Kauno Žalgiris take on FK Zalgiris Vilnius on Monday 26 October, kicking off at 17:45 (WAT). Kauno Žalgiris are 1st with 58 points from 32 games (top of the table), while FK Zalgiris Vilnius sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four).

Form guide

Kauno Žalgiris's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Brann 1–4 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Hegelmann Litauen 4–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 16 September 2026, finished FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3–2 Kauno Žalgiris. Across their last 3 meetings Kauno Žalgiris have won 1, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Kauno Žalgiris and 0.9 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Kauno Žalgiris or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Kauno Žalgiris58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.40
FK Zalgiris Vilnius20%fair 5.12 · @3.80
2.75Expected goals
1.81Kauno Žalgiris xG
0.94FK Zalgiris Vilnius xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%

From our goals model: Kauno Žalgiris 1.8 – 0.9 FK Zalgiris Vilnius expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKauno Žalgiris to win ✗58%1.721.80
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓80%1.241.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Half-time resultKauno Žalgiris ahead at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kauno Žalgiris / FT Kauno Žalgiris ✗36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.65–

Form

Kauno Žalgiris – last 6

LWLWWL
22 Octvs Brann1–4L
19 Oct@ Suduva Marijampole1–0W
15 Oct@ Brighton0–4L
11 Oct@ Minija3–0W
20 Sep@ Šiauliai2–0W
16 Sep@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FK Zalgiris Vilnius – last 6

WWLLWD
18 Octvs Hegelmann Litauen4–1W
10 Octvs Suduva Marijampole4–0W
3 Octvs Panevėžys0–2L
19 Sep@ TransINVEST Vilnius0–3L
16 Sepvs Kauno Žalgiris3–2W
13 Sep@ Suduva Marijampole0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Sep 2026FK Zalgiris Vilnius v Kauno Žalgiris3–2
31 May 2026Kauno Žalgiris v FK Zalgiris Vilnius0–1
5 Apr 2026FK Zalgiris Vilnius v Kauno Žalgiris0–3
Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius head-to-head page →

A Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris3216106+3758
2Suduva Marijampole3215116+1156
3FK Zalgiris Vilnius3216610+1554
4TransINVEST Vilnius3215710+1252
5Banga3211912+142
6Džiugas Telšiai3211912-542
7Panevėžys3211516-1438
8Hegelmann Litauen3241414-2526
9Šiauliai325918-3224
10FK Trakai000000

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

Our pick is Kauno Žalgiris or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

On our numbers Kauno Žalgiris have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FK Zalgiris Vilnius 20%.

How many goals will there be in Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

Our predicted score is Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius (A Lyga) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.