Value bet: Panevėžys to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPanevėžys to win ✓45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.50
Panevėžys vs Banga preview and prediction
The match
Panevėžys host Banga in the A Lyga on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 12:15 (WAT) at Aukstaitijos Stadium. Panevėžys are 7th with 38 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Banga sit 5th on 42 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Panevėžys's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Banga's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Džiugas Telšiai 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Panevėžys arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 September 2026, finished Banga 0–3 Panevėžys. Across their last 2 meetings Panevėžys have won 2, Banga 0, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Panevėžys and 1.1 for Banga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Panevėžys 45%, draw 23%, Banga 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Panevėžys to win at 2.45 – 45% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Panevėžys 1–1 Banga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Panevėžys45%fair 2.22 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
Banga32%fair 3.08 · @2.70
2.44Expected goals
1.35Panevėžys xG
1.09Banga xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Panevėžys 1.3 – 1.1 Banga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Panevėžys vs Banga?
On our numbers Panevėžys have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Banga 32%.
How many goals will there be in Panevėžys vs Banga?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panevėžys vs Banga?
Our predicted score is Panevėžys 1–1 Banga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Panevėžys vs Banga?
Panevėžys vs Banga (A Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Aukstaitijos Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
