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A Lyga · Lithuania · Aukstaitijos Stadium
0–1
FT

Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Kauno Žalgiris to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKauno Žalgiris to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.88

Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris preview and prediction

The match

Kauno Žalgiris travel to Aukstaitijos Stadium in the A Lyga on Sunday 13 September (12:30 WAT) to face Panevėžys. Panevėžys are 7th with 38 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Kauno Žalgiris sit 1st on 58 points (top of the table). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Panevėžys's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Hegelmann Litauen 3–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Kauno Žalgiris's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Suduva Marijampole 5–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 11 July 2026, finished Kauno Žalgiris 3–0 Panevėžys. Across their last 3 meetings Panevėžys have won 0, Kauno Žalgiris 3, with 0 draws and 2.7 goals per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Panevėžys and 1.9 for Kauno Žalgiris. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Kauno Žalgiris to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Panevėžys 0–1 Kauno Žalgiris. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Panevėžys16%fair 6.20 · @5.00
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.60
Kauno Žalgiris64%fair 1.55 · @1.57
2.71Expected goals
0.80Panevėžys xG
1.91Kauno Žalgiris xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%

From our goals model: Panevėžys 0.8 – 1.9 Kauno Žalgiris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKauno Žalgiris to win ✓64%1.551.57
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓84%1.191.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.771.75
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Half-time resultKauno Žalgiris ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kauno Žalgiris / FT Kauno Žalgiris ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13%7.88–

Form

Panevėžys – last 6

WWWLLW
7 Sep@ Hegelmann Litauen3–1W
3 Sep@ Banga3–0W
30 Augvs FK Zalgiris Vilnius2–0W
23 Aug@ Suduva Marijampole0–2L
17 Aug@ Šiauliai0–1L
10 Aug@ TransINVEST Vilnius2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kauno Žalgiris – last 6

WWWDWL
9 Sepvs Suduva Marijampole5–1W
6 Sepvs Džiugas Telšiai5–0W
3 Sep@ Šiauliai1–0W
30 Aug@ Banga0–0D
27 Augvs Beşiktaş1–0W
20 Aug@ Beşiktaş0–3L
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026Kauno Žalgiris v Panevėžys3–0
10 Mar 2026Kauno Žalgiris v Panevėžys4–0
16 Feb 2026Kauno Žalgiris v Panevėžys1–0
Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris head-to-head page →

A Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris3216106+3758
2Suduva Marijampole3215116+1156
3FK Zalgiris Vilnius3216610+1554
4TransINVEST Vilnius3215710+1252
5Banga3211912+142
6Džiugas Telšiai3211912-542
7Panevėžys3211516-1438
8Hegelmann Litauen3241414-2526
9Šiauliai325918-3224
10FK Trakai000000

More A Lyga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Our pick is Kauno Žalgiris to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?

On our numbers Panevėžys have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kauno Žalgiris 64%.

How many goals will there be in Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Our predicted score is Panevėžys 0–1 Kauno Žalgiris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Aukstaitijos Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.