Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKauno Žalgiris to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.88
Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris preview and prediction
The match
Kauno Žalgiris travel to Aukstaitijos Stadium in the A Lyga on Sunday 13 September (12:30 WAT) to face Panevėžys. Panevėžys are 7th with 38 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Kauno Žalgiris sit 1st on 58 points (top of the table). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Panevėžys's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Hegelmann Litauen 3–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kauno Žalgiris's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Suduva Marijampole 5–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 July 2026, finished Kauno Žalgiris 3–0 Panevėžys. Across their last 3 meetings Panevėžys have won 0, Kauno Žalgiris 3, with 0 draws and 2.7 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Panevėžys and 1.9 for Kauno Žalgiris. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Panevėžys 16%, draw 19%, Kauno Žalgiris 64%.
Safer route: Kauno Žalgiris or draw (84%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kauno Žalgiris to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Panevėžys 0–1 Kauno Žalgiris. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Panevėžys16%fair 6.20 · @5.00
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.60
Kauno Žalgiris64%fair 1.55 · @1.57
2.71Expected goals
0.80Panevėžys xG
1.91Kauno Žalgiris xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Panevėžys 0.8 – 1.9 Kauno Žalgiris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our pick is Kauno Žalgiris to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
On our numbers Panevėžys have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kauno Žalgiris 64%.
How many goals will there be in Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our predicted score is Panevėžys 0–1 Kauno Žalgiris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Aukstaitijos Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.