Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Zalgiris Vilnius to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceFK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.43
Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius preview and prediction
The match
FK Zalgiris Vilnius travel to Raudondvario stadionas in the A Lyga on Monday 27 July (16:45 WAT) to face Hegelmann Litauen. Hegelmann Litauen are 8th with 26 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while FK Zalgiris Vilnius sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hegelmann Litauen's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Šiauliai 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Dinamo Tbilisi 0–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1–3 Hegelmann Litauen. Across their last 2 meetings Hegelmann Litauen have won 1, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Hegelmann Litauen and 1.8 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hegelmann Litauen 15%, draw 25%, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 60%.
Safer route: FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hegelmann Litauen 0–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hegelmann Litauen15%fair 6.71 · @3.90
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.25
FK Zalgiris Vilnius60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
2.59Expected goals
0.80Hegelmann Litauen xG
1.79FK Zalgiris Vilnius xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Hegelmann Litauen 0.8 – 1.8 FK Zalgiris Vilnius expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Our pick is FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
On our numbers Hegelmann Litauen have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FK Zalgiris Vilnius 60%.
How many goals will there be in Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Our predicted score is Hegelmann Litauen 0–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius (A Lyga) kicks off on Monday 27 July 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Raudondvario stadionas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
