Value bet: Banga to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBanga to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceBanga or draw ✗83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.43
Banga vs Panevėžys preview and prediction
The match
Panevėžys travel to Gargzdai stadium in the A Lyga on Thursday 3 September (17:00 WAT) to face Banga. Banga are 5th with 42 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Panevėžys sit 7th on 38 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Banga's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Kauno Žalgiris 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Panevėžys's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Panevėžys 1–0 Banga.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Banga and 0.8 for Panevėžys. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Banga 61%, draw 22%, Panevėžys 17%.
Safer route: Banga or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Banga to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Banga 2–0 Panevėžys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Banga61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.55
Panevėžys17%fair 6.00 · @4.00
2.59Expected goals
1.79Banga xG
0.80Panevėžys xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Banga 1.8 – 0.8 Panevėžys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Banga vs Panevėžys?
On our numbers Banga have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Panevėžys 17%.
How many goals will there be in Banga vs Panevėžys?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Banga vs Panevėžys?
Our predicted score is Banga 2–0 Panevėžys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Banga vs Panevėžys?
Banga vs Panevėžys (A Lyga) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Gargzdai stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
