Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Kauno Žalgiris or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Kauno Žalgiris to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKauno Žalgiris to win ✓64% · @1.91
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.08
Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole preview and prediction
The match
Suduva Marijampole travel to face Kauno Žalgiris in the A Lyga on Wednesday 9 September (16:45 WAT). Kauno Žalgiris are 1st with 58 points from 32 games (top of the table), while Suduva Marijampole sit 2nd on 56 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kauno Žalgiris's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Džiugas Telšiai 5–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Suduva Marijampole's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat TransINVEST Vilnius 2–1 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Suduva Marijampole arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Suduva Marijampole 2–1 Kauno Žalgiris.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Kauno Žalgiris and 0.7 for Suduva Marijampole. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kauno Žalgiris 64%, draw 20%, Suduva Marijampole 16%.
Safer route: Kauno Žalgiris or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Kauno Žalgiris to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kauno Žalgiris or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 Suduva Marijampole. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kauno Žalgiris64%fair 1.57 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.30
Suduva Marijampole16%fair 6.07 · @3.55
2.54Expected goals
1.80Kauno Žalgiris xG
0.75Suduva Marijampole xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Kauno Žalgiris 1.8 – 0.7 Suduva Marijampole expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole?
Our pick is Kauno Žalgiris or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole?
On our numbers Kauno Žalgiris have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Suduva Marijampole 16%.
How many goals will there be in Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole?
Our predicted score is Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 Suduva Marijampole, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole?
Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole (A Lyga) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
