Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys preview and prediction
The match
Panevėžys travel to face Kauno Žalgiris in the A Lyga on Saturday 11 July (17:00 WAT). Kauno Žalgiris are 1st with 58 points from 32 games (top of the table), while Panevėžys sit 7th on 38 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kauno Žalgiris's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Drita 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Panevėžys's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Kauno Žalgiris arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 March 2026, finished Kauno Žalgiris 4–0 Panevėžys. Across their last 2 meetings Kauno Žalgiris have won 2, Panevėžys 0, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Kauno Žalgiris and 0.7 for Panevėžys. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kauno Žalgiris 70%, draw 20%, Panevėžys 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kauno Žalgiris to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Kauno Žalgiris 2–0 Panevėžys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kauno Žalgiris70%fair 1.43 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.40
Panevėžys10%fair 9.71 · @6.50
2.85Expected goals
2.14Kauno Žalgiris xG
0.70Panevėžys xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Kauno Žalgiris 2.1 – 0.7 Panevėžys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
Our pick is Kauno Žalgiris to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
On our numbers Kauno Žalgiris have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Panevėžys 10%.
How many goals will there be in Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
Our predicted score is Kauno Žalgiris 2–0 Panevėžys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys (A Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
