Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Hegelmann Litauen to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHegelmann Litauen to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen preview and prediction
The match
Hegelmann Litauen travel to Aukstaitijos Stadium in the A Lyga on Saturday 4 July (14:00 WAT) to face Panevėžys. Panevėžys are 7th with 38 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Hegelmann Litauen sit 8th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Panevėžys's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Suduva Marijampole 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Hegelmann Litauen's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Banga 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished Hegelmann Litauen 3–2 Panevėžys. Across their last 2 meetings Panevėžys have won 0, Hegelmann Litauen 1, with 1 draw and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Panevėžys and 1.3 for Hegelmann Litauen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Hegelmann Litauen to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Panevėžys 1–1 Hegelmann Litauen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Panevėžys37%fair 2.68 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Hegelmann Litauen39%fair 2.59 · @2.75
2.63Expected goals
1.30Panevėžys xG
1.33Hegelmann Litauen xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Panevėžys 1.3 – 1.3 Hegelmann Litauen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen?
On our numbers Panevėžys have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hegelmann Litauen 39%.
How many goals will there be in Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen?
Our predicted score is Panevėžys 1–1 Hegelmann Litauen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen?
Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen (A Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Aukstaitijos Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
