Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReferencia U20 to win ✓63% · @1.67
Double chanceReferencia U20 or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.77
Referencia U20 vs Mauá U20 preview and prediction
The match
Referencia U20 host Mauá U20 in the Paulista U20 on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Referencia U20 are 15th with 0 points from 2 games (in the bottom three), while Mauá U20 sit 11th on 1 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Referencia U20's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Tanabi SP U20 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Mauá U20's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Capivariano U20 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Referencia U20 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Referencia U20 and 0.7 for Mauá U20. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Referencia U20 63%, draw 25%, Mauá U20 12%.
Safer route: Referencia U20 or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Referencia U20 to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Referencia U20 1–0 Mauá U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Referencia U2063%fair 1.58 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.60
Mauá U2012%fair 8.59 · @4.33
2.52Expected goals
1.84Referencia U20 xG
0.68Mauá U20 xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Referencia U20 1.8 – 0.7 Mauá U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Referencia U20 to win✓
63%
1.58
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Referencia U20 or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Referencia U20 ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Referencia U20 / FT Referencia U20✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.77
–
Form
Referencia U20 – last 6
WLWLLL
4 Sep
@ Tanabi SP U20
2–0
W
21 Aug
vs Palmeiras U20
0–2
L
14 Aug
vs Sfera U20
1–0
W
11 Aug
@ XV de Jaú U20
1–2
L
7 Aug
@ Osasco Audax U20
0–3
L
31 Jul
vs Guarani U20
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mauá U20 – last 6
LLLWLL
4 Sep
vs Capivariano U20
0–1
L
21 Aug
@ RB Bragantino U20
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Osasco Audax U20
0–5
L
11 Aug
@ Porto Football U20
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Palmeiras U20
0–2
L
24 Jul
vs Flamengo SP U20
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Referencia U20 and Mauá U20.
What is the prediction for Referencia U20 vs Mauá U20?
Our pick is Referencia U20 to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Referencia U20 vs Mauá U20?
On our numbers Referencia U20 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mauá U20 12%.
How many goals will there be in Referencia U20 vs Mauá U20?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Referencia U20 vs Mauá U20?
Our predicted score is Referencia U20 1–0 Mauá U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Referencia U20 vs Mauá U20?
Referencia U20 vs Mauá U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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