Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✓15% · fair 6.59
Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20 preview and prediction
The match
Referencia U20 host Palmeiras U20 in the Paulista U20 on Friday 21 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Referencia U20 are 15th with 0 points from 2 games (in the bottom three), while Palmeiras U20 sit 6th on 3 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Referencia U20's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Sfera U20 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Palmeiras U20's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat XV de Jaú U20 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Palmeiras U20 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.6 for Referencia U20 and 2.2 for Palmeiras U20. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Referencia U20 8%, draw 17%, Palmeiras U20 75%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Palmeiras U20 to win – a 75% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Referencia U20 0–2 Palmeiras U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Referencia U208%fair 12.60 · @9.50
Draw17%fair 5.85 · @5.75
Palmeiras U2075%fair 1.33 · @1.20
2.78Expected goals
0.57Referencia U20 xG
2.21Palmeiras U20 xG
43%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–215%
0–114%
0–311%
1–29%
1–18%
1–36%
From our goals model: Referencia U20 0.6 – 2.2 Palmeiras U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras U20 to win✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Double chance
Palmeiras U20 or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Palmeiras U20 ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras U20 / FT Palmeiras U20✓
50%
1.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✓
15%
6.59
–
Form
Referencia U20 – last 6
WLLLWL
14 Aug
vs Sfera U20
1–0
W
11 Aug
@ XV de Jaú U20
1–2
L
7 Aug
@ Osasco Audax U20
0–3
L
31 Jul
vs Guarani U20
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ Porto Football U20
1–0
W
17 Jul
@ Capivariano U20
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Palmeiras U20 – last 6
WWWWWL
14 Aug
vs XV de Jaú U20
3–0
W
11 Aug
vs Ituano U20
4–0
W
7 Aug
@ Tanabi SP U20
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Mauá U20
2–0
W
30 Jul
vs RB Bragantino U20
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs RB Bragantino U20
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Referencia U20 and Palmeiras U20.
What is the prediction for Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20?
Our pick is Palmeiras U20 to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20?
On our numbers Referencia U20 have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Palmeiras U20 75%.
How many goals will there be in Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20?
Our predicted score is Referencia U20 0–2 Palmeiras U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20?
Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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