Sfera U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20 prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Sfera U20 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sfera U20 to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSfera U20 to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceSfera U20 or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.37
Sfera U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20 preview and prediction
The match
Sfera U20 host Gremio Prudente U20 in the Paulista U20 on Friday 28 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Sfera U20 are 14th with 0 points from 2 games (in the bottom three), while Gremio Prudente U20 sit 12th on 1 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sfera U20's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Referencia U20 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Gremio Prudente U20's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Osasco Audax U20 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sfera U20 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Sfera U20 and 0.9 for Gremio Prudente U20. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Sfera U20 to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sfera U20 or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sfera U20 1–0 Gremio Prudente U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sfera U2063%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.40
Gremio Prudente U2017%fair 5.84 · @3.50
2.77Expected goals
1.91Sfera U20 xG
0.86Gremio Prudente U20 xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Sfera U20 1.9 – 0.9 Gremio Prudente U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sfera U20 to win✗
63%
1.59
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Sfera U20 or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Sfera U20 ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sfera U20 / FT Sfera U20✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.37
–
Form
Sfera U20 – last 6
LWWLWW
14 Aug
@ Referencia U20
0–1
L
7 Aug
vs XV de Jaú U20
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ Água Santa U20
3–1
W
24 Jul
vs Osasco Audax U20
0–1
L
17 Jul
@ Tanabi SP U20
3–0
W
10 Jul
vs Flamengo SP U20
5–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gremio Prudente U20 – last 6
DLLLDW
25 Aug
@ Osasco Audax U20
2–2
D
18 Aug
vs RB Bragantino U20
1–3
L
6 Aug
vs Capivariano U20
0–3
L
31 Jul
@ Flamengo SP U20
0–1
L
24 Jul
vs XV de Jaú U20
1–1
D
10 Jul
@ Ituano U20
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sfera U20 and Gremio Prudente U20.
What is the prediction for Sfera U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20?
Our pick is Sfera U20 or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sfera U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20?
On our numbers Sfera U20 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gremio Prudente U20 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sfera U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sfera U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20?
Our predicted score is Sfera U20 1–0 Gremio Prudente U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sfera U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20?
Sfera U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
