São Caetano U20 vs Novorizontino U20 prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Novorizontino U20 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Novorizontino U20 to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovorizontino U20 to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceNovorizontino U20 or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.02
São Caetano U20 vs Novorizontino U20 preview and prediction
The match
São Caetano U20 host Novorizontino U20 in the Paulista U20 on Thursday 6 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). São Caetano U20 are 6th with 3 points from 2 games (in the top half), while Novorizontino U20 sit 11th on 1 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
São Caetano U20's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to SC Paulinense SP U20 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Novorizontino U20's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat EC São Bernardo U20 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Novorizontino U20 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for São Caetano U20 and 1.8 for Novorizontino U20. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: Novorizontino U20 or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Novorizontino U20 to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Novorizontino U20 or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: São Caetano U20 0–1 Novorizontino U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
São Caetano U2013%fair 7.94 · @3.80
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.50
Novorizontino U2063%fair 1.59 · @1.73
2.56Expected goals
0.72São Caetano U20 xG
1.84Novorizontino U20 xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%
From our goals model: São Caetano U20 0.7 – 1.8 Novorizontino U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novorizontino U20 to win✓
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Novorizontino U20 or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Novorizontino U20 ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novorizontino U20 / FT Novorizontino U20✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.02
–
Form
São Caetano U20 – last 6
LWDLLL
24 Jul
@ SC Paulinense SP U20
0–2
L
17 Jul
vs EC São Bernardo U20
2–0
W
10 Jul
@ Velo Clube U20
2–2
D
3 Jul
vs União São João U20
0–2
L
28 Jun
vs São Paulo U20
0–2
L
12 Jun
@ Desportivo Brasil U20
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Novorizontino U20 – last 6
WDDWDL
31 Jul
@ EC São Bernardo U20
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Santo André U20
2–2
D
17 Jul
@ Bandeirante U20
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Velo Clube U20
4–0
W
26 Jun
@ União São João U20
0–0
D
11 Jun
vs Ibrachina U20
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São Caetano U20 and Novorizontino U20.
What is the prediction for São Caetano U20 vs Novorizontino U20?
Our pick is Novorizontino U20 or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win São Caetano U20 vs Novorizontino U20?
On our numbers São Caetano U20 have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Novorizontino U20 63%.
How many goals will there be in São Caetano U20 vs Novorizontino U20?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Caetano U20 vs Novorizontino U20?
Our predicted score is São Caetano U20 0–1 Novorizontino U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is São Caetano U20 vs Novorizontino U20?
São Caetano U20 vs Novorizontino U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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