Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSão Paulo U20 to win ✓73% · @1.14
Double chanceSão Paulo U20 or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.95
Aguai U20 vs São Paulo U20 preview and prediction
The match
Aguai U20 host São Paulo U20 in the Paulista U20 on Friday 7 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Aguai U20 are 15th with 0 points from 2 games (in the bottom three), while São Paulo U20 sit 5th on 3 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aguai U20's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Desportivo Brasil U20 1–7 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.8 conceded.
São Paulo U20's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Botafogo SP U20 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
São Paulo U20 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.7 for Aguai U20 and 2.4 for São Paulo U20. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 47% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aguai U20 9%, draw 18%, São Paulo U20 73%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Aguai U20 0–3 São Paulo U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aguai U209%fair 11.25 · @13.00
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @7.50
São Paulo U2073%fair 1.37 · @1.14
3.10Expected goals
0.74Aguai U20 xG
2.37São Paulo U20 xG
47%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–111%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Aguai U20 0.7 – 2.4 São Paulo U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Paulo U20 to win✓
73%
1.37
1.14
Double chance
São Paulo U20 or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
São Paulo U20 ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Paulo U20 / FT São Paulo U20✗
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
13%
7.95
–
Form
Aguai U20 – last 6
LLLWDD
31 Jul
@ Desportivo Brasil U20
1–7
L
24 Jul
vs Bandeirante U20
2–3
L
17 Jul
@ XV de Piracicaba U20
0–3
L
10 Jul
@ União São João U20
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Botafogo SP U20
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ Velo Clube U20
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
São Paulo U20 – last 6
WDDWDW
31 Jul
vs Botafogo SP U20
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Oeste U20
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Velo Clube U20
0–0
D
11 Jul
@ EC São Bernardo U20
3–1
W
4 Jul
vs XV de Piracicaba U20
0–0
D
1 Jul
@ Santos U20
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aguai U20 and São Paulo U20.
What is the prediction for Aguai U20 vs São Paulo U20?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Aguai U20 vs São Paulo U20?
On our numbers Aguai U20 have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 18% and São Paulo U20 73%.
How many goals will there be in Aguai U20 vs São Paulo U20?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aguai U20 vs São Paulo U20?
Our predicted score is Aguai U20 0–3 São Paulo U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Aguai U20 vs São Paulo U20?
Aguai U20 vs São Paulo U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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