EC São Bernardo U20 vs São Paulo U20 prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
São Paulo U20 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSão Paulo U20 to win ✓64% · @1.73
Double chanceSão Paulo U20 or draw ✓83% · fair 1.21
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.60
EC São Bernardo U20 vs São Paulo U20 preview and prediction
The match
São Paulo U20 travel to face EC São Bernardo U20 in the Paulista U20 on Saturday 11 July (14:00 WAT). EC São Bernardo U20 are 9th with 1 points from 1 games (in the bottom half), while São Paulo U20 sit 5th on 3 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
EC São Bernardo U20's last 4: LDWD Most recently they lost to Ibrachina U20 0–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
São Paulo U20's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with XV de Piracicaba U20 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
São Paulo U20 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for EC São Bernardo U20 and 1.7 for São Paulo U20. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 45%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: EC São Bernardo U20 17%, draw 19%, São Paulo U20 64%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was São Paulo U20 to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: EC São Bernardo U20 0–1 São Paulo U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
EC São Bernardo U2017%fair 5.81 · @4.00
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.50
São Paulo U2064%fair 1.57 · @1.73
2.43Expected goals
0.71EC São Bernardo U20 xG
1.72São Paulo U20 xG
45%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–37%
From our goals model: EC São Bernardo U20 0.7 – 1.7 São Paulo U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Paulo U20 to win✓
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Double chance
São Paulo U20 or draw✓
83%
1.21
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
São Paulo U20 ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Paulo U20 / FT São Paulo U20✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.60
–
Form
EC São Bernardo U20 – last 4
LDWD
3 Jul
@ Ibrachina U20
0–4
L
26 Jun
vs Santo André U20
0–0
D
12 Jun
@ XV de Piracicaba U20
2–0
W
29 May
vs SC Paulinense SP U20
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
São Paulo U20 – last 6
DWWWDL
4 Jul
vs XV de Piracicaba U20
0–0
D
1 Jul
@ Santos U20
3–0
W
28 Jun
@ São Caetano U20
2–0
W
23 Jun
vs Fortaleza U20
1–0
W
20 Jun
vs Flamengo U20
1–1
D
17 Jun
@ Juventude U20
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between EC São Bernardo U20 and São Paulo U20.
What is the prediction for EC São Bernardo U20 vs São Paulo U20?
Our pick is São Paulo U20 to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win EC São Bernardo U20 vs São Paulo U20?
On our numbers EC São Bernardo U20 have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and São Paulo U20 64%.
How many goals will there be in EC São Bernardo U20 vs São Paulo U20?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for EC São Bernardo U20 vs São Paulo U20?
Our predicted score is EC São Bernardo U20 0–1 São Paulo U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is EC São Bernardo U20 vs São Paulo U20?
EC São Bernardo U20 vs São Paulo U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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