União São João U20 vs Aguai U20 prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
União São João U20 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnião São João U20 to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.91
União São João U20 vs Aguai U20 preview and prediction
The match
The Paulista U20 sees União São João U20 take on Aguai U20 on Friday 10 July, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). União São João U20 are 12th with 1 points from 2 games (in the bottom half), while Aguai U20 sit 15th on 0 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
União São João U20's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat São Caetano U20 2–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aguai U20's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Botafogo SP U20 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for União São João U20 and 0.7 for Aguai U20. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: União São João U20 62%, draw 19%, Aguai U20 19%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was União São João U20 to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: União São João U20 1–0 Aguai U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
União São João U2062%fair 1.60 · @1.91
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.40
Aguai U2019%fair 5.28 · @3.30
2.55Expected goals
1.86União São João U20 xG
0.70Aguai U20 xG
43%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: União São João U20 1.9 – 0.7 Aguai U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
União São João U20
Aguai U20
Attack vs Paulista U20 average
-29%
-33%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+73%
Our expected goals here
2.06
0.62
Our own ratings from every Paulista U20 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União São João U20 to win✗
62%
1.60
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
União São João U20 ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União São João U20 / FT União São João U20✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.91
–
Form
União São João U20 – last 5
WDDDL
3 Jul
@ São Caetano U20
2–0
W
26 Jun
vs Novorizontino U20
0–0
D
12 Jun
vs Velo Clube U20
0–0
D
5 Jun
@ Botafogo SP U20
1–1
D
29 May
vs Ibrachina U20
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Aguai U20 – last 5
DDWLL
4 Jul
vs Botafogo SP U20
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ Velo Clube U20
2–2
D
12 Jun
vs SC Paulinense SP U20
1–0
W
5 Jun
@ Ibrachina U20
0–5
L
29 May
vs Oeste U20
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União São João U20 and Aguai U20.
What is the prediction for União São João U20 vs Aguai U20?
Our pick is União São João U20 to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win União São João U20 vs Aguai U20?
On our numbers União São João U20 have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Aguai U20 19%.
How many goals will there be in União São João U20 vs Aguai U20?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União São João U20 vs Aguai U20?
Our predicted score is União São João U20 1–0 Aguai U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is União São João U20 vs Aguai U20?
União São João U20 vs Aguai U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.