Novorizontino U20 vs Velo Clube U20 prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Novorizontino U20 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovorizontino U20 to win ✓67% · @1.55
Double chanceNovorizontino U20 or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.74
Novorizontino U20 vs Velo Clube U20 preview and prediction
The match
Novorizontino U20 host Velo Clube U20 in the Paulista U20 on Sunday 5 July, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Novorizontino U20 are 11th with 1 points from 2 games (in the bottom half), while Velo Clube U20 sit 13th on 1 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Novorizontino U20's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with União São João U20 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Velo Clube U20's last 4: DDLD Most recently they drew with Aguai U20 2–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Novorizontino U20 and 0.5 for Velo Clube U20. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 40%.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Novorizontino U20 to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Novorizontino U20 1–0 Velo Clube U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novorizontino U2067%fair 1.49 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.90
Velo Clube U2011%fair 9.42 · @4.50
2.32Expected goals
1.78Novorizontino U20 xG
0.55Velo Clube U20 xG
40%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Novorizontino U20 1.8 – 0.5 Velo Clube U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novorizontino U20 to win✓
67%
1.49
1.55
Double chance
Novorizontino U20 or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Novorizontino U20 ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novorizontino U20 / FT Novorizontino U20✓
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.74
–
Form
Novorizontino U20 – last 6
DLLDDL
26 Jun
@ União São João U20
0–0
D
11 Jun
vs Ibrachina U20
1–3
L
5 Jun
vs Desportivo Brasil U20
0–1
L
31 May
@ XV de Piracicaba U20
2–2
D
27 May
@ CRB U20
1–1
D
19 May
vs Goiás U20
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Velo Clube U20 – last 4
DDLD
26 Jun
vs Aguai U20
2–2
D
12 Jun
@ União São João U20
0–0
D
4 Jun
@ Oeste U20
0–1
L
29 May
vs Bandeirante U20
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novorizontino U20 and Velo Clube U20.
What is the prediction for Novorizontino U20 vs Velo Clube U20?
Our pick is Novorizontino U20 to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Novorizontino U20 vs Velo Clube U20?
On our numbers Novorizontino U20 have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Velo Clube U20 11%.
How many goals will there be in Novorizontino U20 vs Velo Clube U20?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novorizontino U20 vs Velo Clube U20?
Our predicted score is Novorizontino U20 1–0 Velo Clube U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Novorizontino U20 vs Velo Clube U20?
Novorizontino U20 vs Velo Clube U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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