Value bet: Corinthians U20 to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCorinthians U20 to win ✓44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Mirassol U20 vs Corinthians U20 preview and prediction
The match
Corinthians U20 travel to face Mirassol U20 in the Paulista U20 on Friday 5 June (19:00 WAT). Mirassol U20 are 11th with 0 points from 1 games (in the bottom half), while Corinthians U20 sit 6th on 3 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mirassol U20's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Goiás U20 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Corinthians U20's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with RB Bragantino U20 3–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Corinthians U20 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Mirassol U20 and 1.5 for Corinthians U20. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Corinthians U20 to win at 2.55 – 44% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Mirassol U20 1–2 Corinthians U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mirassol U2035%fair 2.87 · @2.38
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
Corinthians U2044%fair 2.25 · @2.55
2.84Expected goals
1.31Mirassol U20 xG
1.53Corinthians U20 xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Mirassol U20 1.3 – 1.5 Corinthians U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Corinthians U20 to win✓
44%
2.25
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Corinthians U20 / FT Corinthians U20✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.19
–
Form
Mirassol U20 – last 6
LLLLLW
27 May
@ Goiás U20
1–3
L
21 May
vs CRB U20
2–3
L
14 May
@ Atlético Mineiro U20
0–3
L
30 Apr
@ Novorizontino U20
0–2
L
23 Apr
vs Ceará U20
0–3
L
9 Apr
@ Chapecoense U20
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Corinthians U20 – last 6
DLWLLW
28 May
@ RB Bragantino U20
3–3
D
19 May
vs Palmeiras U20
0–1
L
13 May
@ Cuiabá U20
2–0
W
6 May
vs Fluminense U20
0–3
L
29 Apr
vs Athletico PR U20
1–4
L
22 Apr
@ Criciuma U20
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirassol U20 and Corinthians U20.
What is the prediction for Mirassol U20 vs Corinthians U20?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Mirassol U20 vs Corinthians U20?
On our numbers Mirassol U20 have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Corinthians U20 44%.
How many goals will there be in Mirassol U20 vs Corinthians U20?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirassol U20 vs Corinthians U20?
Our predicted score is Mirassol U20 1–2 Corinthians U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mirassol U20 vs Corinthians U20?
Mirassol U20 vs Corinthians U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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