Double chanceBorussia Dortmund or draw ✗91% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.45
Cerezo Osaka vs Borussia Dortmund preview and prediction
The match
Cerezo Osaka host Borussia Dortmund in the Friendlies Clubs on Wednesday 29 July, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.
Form guide
Cerezo Osaka's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Tochigi City 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Borussia Dortmund's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Cerezo Osaka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 0.8 for Cerezo Osaka and 2.4 for Borussia Dortmund. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Borussia Dortmund to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Cerezo Osaka 0–2 Borussia Dortmund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerezo Osaka9%fair 10.88 · @6.50
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @4.75
Borussia Dortmund71%fair 1.41 · @1.42
3.17Expected goals
0.80Cerezo Osaka xG
2.37Borussia Dortmund xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–110%
1–29%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 0.8 – 2.4 Borussia Dortmund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Dortmund to win✗
71%
1.41
1.42
Double chance
Borussia Dortmund or draw✗
91%
1.10
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.90
Half-time result
Borussia Dortmund ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Dortmund / FT Borussia Dortmund✗
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.45
–
Form
Cerezo Osaka – last 6
WWDWWW
15 Jul
vs Tochigi City
1–0
W
6 Jun
@ FC Tokyo
3–1
W
30 May
vs FC Tokyo
2–2
D
24 May
@ Fagiano Okayama
3–2
W
17 May
vs Nagoya Grampus
6–1
W
9 May
vs V-varen Nagasaki
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund – last 6
LWWLWW
25 Jul
@ Fortuna Düsseldorf
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Rot-weiss Oberhausen
3–1
W
8 May
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
3–2
W
25 Feb
@ Atalanta
1–4
L
17 Feb
vs Atalanta
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs FSV Mainz 05
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerezo Osaka and Borussia Dortmund.
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our pick is Borussia Dortmund to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Borussia Dortmund?
On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Borussia Dortmund 71%.
How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Borussia Dortmund?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 0–2 Borussia Dortmund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Cerezo Osaka vs Borussia Dortmund?
Cerezo Osaka vs Borussia Dortmund (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 29 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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