Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Schalke 04 prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Schalke 04 to win ✓69% · @1.17
Double chanceFC Schalke 04 or draw ✓85% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.92
Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Schalke 04 preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees Erzgebirge Aue take on FC Schalke 04 on Sunday 19 July, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Erzgebirge Aue's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Kladno 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Schalke 04's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to FC Gutersloh 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for Erzgebirge Aue and 2.3 for FC Schalke 04. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 49% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Erzgebirge Aue 1–2 FC Schalke 04. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Erzgebirge Aue15%fair 6.64 · @13.00
Draw16%fair 6.37 · @6.00
FC Schalke 0469%fair 1.44 · @1.17
3.30Expected goals
0.96Erzgebirge Aue xG
2.34FC Schalke 04 xG
49%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–18%
0–38%
1–38%
From our goals model: Erzgebirge Aue 1.0 – 2.3 FC Schalke 04 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Schalke 04 to win✓
69%
1.44
1.17
Double chance
FC Schalke 04 or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
FC Schalke 04 ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Schalke 04 / FT FC Schalke 04✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
9.92
–
Form
Erzgebirge Aue – last 6
WWWWDD
11 Jul
vs Kladno
2–0
W
8 Jul
vs VfL Halle
7–1
W
3 Jul
@ ZFC Meuselwitz
3–0
W
1 Jul
vs Vysočina Jihlava
3–1
W
8 May
vs MSV Duisburg
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Stuttgart II
2–2
D
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Schalke 04 – last 6
LWWWWW
11 Jul
@ FC Gutersloh
1–2
L
17 May
vs Eintracht Braunschweig
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ SC Paderborn 07
3–2
W
19 Apr
vs Preußen Münster
4–1
W
12 Apr
@ SV Elversberg
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Karlsruher SC
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erzgebirge Aue and FC Schalke 04.
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Schalke 04?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Schalke 04?
On our numbers Erzgebirge Aue have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 16% and FC Schalke 04 69%.
How many goals will there be in Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Schalke 04?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Schalke 04?
Our predicted score is Erzgebirge Aue 1–2 FC Schalke 04, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Schalke 04?
Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Schalke 04 (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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