Value bet: Badalona to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCornellà to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.08
Cornellà vs Badalona preview and prediction
The match
Badalona travel to Nou Municipal de Cornella in the Tercera División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 31 May (17:15 WAT) to face Cornellà. Cornellà are 14th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Badalona sit 3rd on 17 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Cornellà's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Vilanova 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Badalona's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to L'Hospitalet 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Cornellà arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Cornellà 2–4 Badalona.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Cornellà and 1.1 for Badalona. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Badalona to win at 3.60 – 34% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.82, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cornellà 1–1 Badalona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cornellà43%fair 2.35 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
Badalona34%fair 2.98 · @3.60
2.31Expected goals
1.25Cornellà xG
1.06Badalona xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cornellà 1.2 – 1.1 Badalona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Cornellà vs Badalona?
On our numbers Cornellà have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Badalona 34%.
How many goals will there be in Cornellà vs Badalona?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cornellà vs Badalona?
Our predicted score is Cornellà 1–1 Badalona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cornellà vs Badalona?
Cornellà vs Badalona (Tercera División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Nou Municipal de Cornella.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
