The Tercera División RFEF Group 2 sees Caudal take on Covadonga on Sunday 31 May, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT). Caudal are 5th with 18 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Covadonga sit 1st on 23 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Caudal's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Sporting Gijón II 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Covadonga's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Mosconia 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Caudal 2–1 Covadonga.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Caudal and 1.5 for Covadonga. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caudal 37%, draw 25%, Covadonga 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Caudal 1–1 Covadonga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caudal37%fair 2.72 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.00
Covadonga39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
3.00Expected goals
1.48Caudal xG
1.52Covadonga xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Caudal 1.5 – 1.5 Covadonga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Caudal vs Covadonga?
On our numbers Caudal have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Covadonga 39%.
How many goals will there be in Caudal vs Covadonga?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caudal vs Covadonga?
Our predicted score is Caudal 1–1 Covadonga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Caudal vs Covadonga?
Caudal vs Covadonga (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
