Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFiorentina U20 to win ✓57% · @1.83
Double chanceFiorentina U20 or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.10
Fiorentina U20 vs Parma U20 preview and prediction
The match
The Campionato Primavera 1 sees Fiorentina U20 take on Parma U20 on Thursday 28 May, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Curva Fiesole - Viola Park. Fiorentina U20 are 11th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Parma U20 sit 1st on 21 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Fiorentina U20's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Cremonese U20 6–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Parma U20's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Milan U20 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Fiorentina U20 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Fiorentina U20 and 1.0 for Parma U20. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Fiorentina U20 or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fiorentina U20 or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fiorentina U20 1–0 Parma U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fiorentina U2057%fair 1.74 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.30
Parma U2018%fair 5.48 · @3.50
2.82Expected goals
1.86Fiorentina U20 xG
0.96Parma U20 xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Fiorentina U20 1.9 – 1.0 Parma U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fiorentina U20 to win✓
57%
1.74
1.83
Double chance
Fiorentina U20 or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Fiorentina U20 ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fiorentina U20 / FT Fiorentina U20✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.10
–
Form
Fiorentina U20 – last 6
WWWWLW
10 May
vs Cremonese U20
6–1
W
3 May
@ Atalanta U20
2–1
W
27 Apr
vs Monza U20
3–1
W
18 Apr
@ Juventus U20
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Sassuolo U20
1–2
L
6 Apr
vs Frosinone U20
5–1
W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Parma U20 – last 6
WWLWLW
9 May
vs Milan U20
4–2
W
2 May
@ Lazio U20
4–3
W
20 Apr
@ Atalanta U20
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Juventus U20
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ Juventus U20
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ Cagliari U20
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorentina U20 and Parma U20.
What is the prediction for Fiorentina U20 vs Parma U20?
Our pick is Fiorentina U20 or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fiorentina U20 vs Parma U20?
On our numbers Fiorentina U20 have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Parma U20 18%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina U20 vs Parma U20?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina U20 vs Parma U20?
Our predicted score is Fiorentina U20 1–0 Parma U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Fiorentina U20 vs Parma U20?
Fiorentina U20 vs Parma U20 (Campionato Primavera 1) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Curva Fiesole - Viola Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
