Value bet: Tropezón to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLaredo to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.39
Laredo vs Tropezón preview and prediction
The match
Laredo host Tropezón in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3 on Saturday 6 June, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Laredo are 7th with 19 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Tropezón sit 1st on 26 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Laredo's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Escobedo 0–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tropezón's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Guarnizo 3–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Laredo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Tropezón 0–1 Laredo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Laredo and 1.1 for Tropezón. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Laredo 42%, draw 24%, Tropezón 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Tropezón to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Laredo 1–1 Tropezón. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Laredo42%fair 2.37 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.90
Tropezón34%fair 2.92 · @3.40
2.36Expected goals
1.26Laredo xG
1.10Tropezón xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Laredo 1.3 – 1.1 Tropezón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Laredo vs Tropezón?
On our numbers Laredo have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tropezón 34%.
How many goals will there be in Laredo vs Tropezón?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Laredo vs Tropezón?
Our predicted score is Laredo 1–1 Tropezón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Laredo vs Tropezón?
Laredo vs Tropezón (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
