Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIzarra to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Izarra vs Pamplona preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 15 sees Izarra take on Pamplona on Saturday 30 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Izarra are 1st with 26 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Pamplona sit 16th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Izarra's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Subiza 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pamplona's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Izarra 2–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.6 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pamplona arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Izarra 0–2 Pamplona.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Izarra and 1.3 for Pamplona. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Izarra 41%, draw 24%, Pamplona 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Izarra 1–1 Pamplona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Izarra41%fair 2.46 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Pamplona35%fair 2.86 · @3.00
2.71Expected goals
1.42Izarra xG
1.29Pamplona xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Izarra 1.4 – 1.3 Pamplona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Izarra vs Pamplona?
On our numbers Izarra have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pamplona 35%.
How many goals will there be in Izarra vs Pamplona?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Izarra vs Pamplona?
Our predicted score is Izarra 1–1 Pamplona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Izarra vs Pamplona?
Izarra vs Pamplona (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
