Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNaft to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.04
Naft vs Newroz preview and prediction
The match
Newroz travel to face Naft in the Iraqi League on Monday 1 June (16:00 WAT). Naft are 3rd with 25 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Newroz sit 2nd on 26 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Naft's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Al Zawra'a 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Newroz's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Mosul 1–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Newroz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Naft and 0.9 for Newroz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Naft 43%, draw 23%, Newroz 34%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Naft 1–0 Newroz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naft43%fair 2.30 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
Newroz34%fair 2.94 · @3.10
2.07Expected goals
1.13Naft xG
0.94Newroz xG
45%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Naft 1.1 – 0.9 Newroz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naft to win✓
43%
2.30
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naft / FT Naft✓
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.04
–
Form
Naft – last 6
WDDDDL
27 May
@ Al Zawra'a
1–0
W
19 May
vs Duhok
1–1
D
14 May
vs Al Minaa Basra
1–1
D
5 May
vs Al-Karma
0–0
D
22 Apr
@ Mosul
0–0
D
14 Apr
vs Erbil
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Newroz – last 6
DWWWDW
27 May
vs Mosul
1–1
D
20 May
vs Zakho
2–1
W
27 Apr
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2–1
W
13 Apr
vs Al Minaa Basra
4–1
W
8 Apr
vs Al Karkh
0–0
D
31 Mar
vs Naft Maysan
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naft and Newroz.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Naft vs Newroz?
On our numbers Naft have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Newroz 34%.
How many goals will there be in Naft vs Newroz?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft vs Newroz?
Our predicted score is Naft 1–0 Newroz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Naft vs Newroz?
Naft vs Newroz (Iraqi League) kicks off on Monday 1 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Najaf1