Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Minaa Basra to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.48
Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba preview and prediction
The match
The Iraqi League sees Al Minaa Basra take on Al Talaba on Thursday 28 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Al Minaa Basra are 9th with 17 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Al Talaba sit 11th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Minaa Basra's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Zakho 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Talaba's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Al-Karma 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Al Minaa Basra arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Al Minaa Basra and 1.1 for Al Talaba. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Minaa Basra 40%, draw 25%, Al Talaba 35%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Al Minaa Basra 1–1 Al Talaba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Minaa Basra40%fair 2.49 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Al Talaba35%fair 2.84 · @3.00
2.34Expected goals
1.22Al Minaa Basra xG
1.12Al Talaba xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Al Minaa Basra 1.2 – 1.1 Al Talaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Minaa Basra to win✗
40%
2.49
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Minaa Basra / FT Al Minaa Basra✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.48
–
Form
Al Minaa Basra – last 6
DWDDWW
24 May
vs Zakho
2–2
D
20 May
vs Mosul
1–0
W
14 May
@ Naft
1–1
D
6 May
@ Al-Qasim
3–3
D
28 Apr
@ Gharraf
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Baghdad
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Talaba – last 6
DLWLDW
19 May
vs Al-Karma
1–1
D
5 May
vs Al Zawra'a
0–1
L
1 May
@ Diyala
1–0
W
27 Apr
vs Erbil
2–3
L
30 Mar
vs Naft
0–0
D
25 Mar
vs Baghdad
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Minaa Basra and Al Talaba.
What is the prediction for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba?
On our numbers Al Minaa Basra have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Talaba 35%.
How many goals will there be in Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba?
Our predicted score is Al Minaa Basra 1–1 Al Talaba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba?
Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
