Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Primavera SP to win @ 2.55 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPrimavera SP to win ✓45% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.14
Oeste vs Primavera SP preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Paulista sees Oeste take on Primavera SP on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Oeste's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Paulista 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Primavera SP's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Juventus 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 July 2026, finished Primavera SP 2–0 Oeste.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Oeste and 1.2 for Primavera SP. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oeste 33%, draw 22%, Primavera SP 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Primavera SP to win at 2.55 – 45% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Oeste 0–1 Primavera SP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oeste33%fair 3.02 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Primavera SP45%fair 2.24 · @2.55
2.13Expected goals
0.95Oeste xG
1.18Primavera SP xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Oeste 1.0 – 1.2 Primavera SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Oeste vs Primavera SP?
On our numbers Oeste have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Primavera SP 45%.
How many goals will there be in Oeste vs Primavera SP?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oeste vs Primavera SP?
Our predicted score is Oeste 0–1 Primavera SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Oeste vs Primavera SP?
Oeste vs Primavera SP (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
