Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea prediction & analysis
76%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32
8/10Rating
–Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultZimbabwe to win47% · fair 2.13
Double chanceEither team to win87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–03% · fair 30.68
Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea preview and prediction
The match
Zimbabwe host Equatorial Guinea in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Monday 16 November, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at National Sports Stadium. Zimbabwe are 2nd with 9 points from 6 games, while Equatorial Guinea sit 2nd on 8 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Zimbabwe's last 4: LWLW Most recently they lost to Congo DR 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Equatorial Guinea's last 4: WLLD Most recently they beat Sierra Leone 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Zimbabwe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Zimbabwe and 1.3 for Equatorial Guinea. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
The Footrivo pick: Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance. Predicted score: Zimbabwe 1–1 Equatorial Guinea. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zimbabwe47%fair 2.13
Draw13%fair 7.69
Equatorial Guinea40%fair 2.50
2.75Expected goals
1.45Zimbabwe xG
1.30Equatorial Guinea xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Zimbabwe 1.5 – 1.3 Equatorial Guinea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zimbabwe to win
47%
2.13
–
Double chance
Either team to win
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zimbabwe / FT Zimbabwe
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
3%
30.68
–
Form
Zimbabwe – last 4
LWLW
28 Sep
vs Congo DR
1–2
L
24 Sep
@ Sierra Leone
3–2
W
26 May
@ Nigeria
0–2
L
31 Mar
vs Zambia U23
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Equatorial Guinea – last 4
WLLD
28 Sep
vs Sierra Leone
1–0
W
24 Sep
@ Congo DR
0–2
L
8 Jun
vs Comoros
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Madagascar
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zimbabwe and Equatorial Guinea.
What is the prediction for Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance.
Who will win Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?
On our numbers Zimbabwe have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Equatorial Guinea 40%.
How many goals will there be in Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?
Our predicted score is Zimbabwe 1–1 Equatorial Guinea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?
Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at National Sports Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
