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Tue 17 Nov 2026

Sierra Leone vs Congo DR prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32

8/10Rating
–Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCongo DR to win68% · fair 1.47
Double chanceEither team to win89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–37% · fair 13.38

Sierra Leone vs Congo DR preview and prediction

The match

The Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification sees Sierra Leone take on Congo DR on Tuesday 17 November, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Sierra Leone are 3rd with 5 points from 6 games, while Congo DR sit 1st on 12 points.

Form guide

Sierra Leone's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Equatorial Guinea 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Congo DR's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Uganda 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Congo DR arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Sierra Leone and 1.9 for Congo DR. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 48%.

Betting angles

Prediction

Our prediction: Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance. Predicted score: Sierra Leone 0–2 Congo DR. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sierra Leone21%fair 4.76
Draw11%fair 9.09
Congo DR68%fair 1.47
2.75Expected goals
0.84Sierra Leone xG
1.91Congo DR xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%

From our goals model: Sierra Leone 0.8 – 1.9 Congo DR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCongo DR to win68%1.47–
Double chanceEither team to win89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.93–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals70%1.42–
Half-time resultCongo DR ahead at half-time45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Congo DR / FT Congo DR40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–37%13.38–

Form

Sierra Leone – last 4

LLLW
28 Sep@ Equatorial Guinea0–1L
24 Sepvs Zimbabwe2–3L
9 Jun@ Liberia1–3L
6 Junvs Liberia1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Congo DR – last 6

DLWWLW
5 Oct@ Uganda1–1D
2 Octvs Uganda0–2L
28 Sep@ Zimbabwe2–1W
24 Sepvs Equatorial Guinea2–0W
1 Jul@ England1–2L
28 Junvs Uzbekistan3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sierra Leone and Congo DR.

Sierra Leone vs Congo DR head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zambia6411+313
2Ivory Coast6402+912
3Sierra Leone6123-55
4Chad6033-73

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sierra Leone vs Congo DR?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance.

Who will win Sierra Leone vs Congo DR?

On our numbers Sierra Leone have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Congo DR 68%.

How many goals will there be in Sierra Leone vs Congo DR?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sierra Leone vs Congo DR?

Our predicted score is Sierra Leone 0–2 Congo DR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sierra Leone vs Congo DR?

Sierra Leone vs Congo DR (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.