Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.53
Rwanda vs Mali preview and prediction
The match
Mali travel to Stade Amahoro in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Tuesday 17 November (20:00 WAT) to face Rwanda. Rwanda are 3rd with 8 points from 6 games, while Mali sit 1st on 14 points.
Form guide
Rwanda's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Cape Verde Islands 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mali's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Liberia 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rwanda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Rwanda and 1.7 for Mali. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rwanda 34%, draw 11%, Mali 55%.
Prediction
The Footrivo pick: Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance. Predicted score: Rwanda 1–1 Mali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rwanda34%fair 2.94
Draw11%fair 9.09
Mali55%fair 1.82
3.00Expected goals
1.26Rwanda xG
1.74Mali xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Rwanda 1.3 – 1.7 Mali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mali to win
55%
1.82
–
Double chance
Either team to win
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mali / FT Mali
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.53
–
Form
Rwanda – last 4
WWWW
29 Sep
@ Cape Verde Islands
2–1
W
25 Sep
vs Liberia
3–1
W
30 Mar
vs Estonia
2–0
W
27 Mar
vs Grenada
4–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Mali – last 3
WWD
29 Sep
@ Liberia
1–0
W
25 Sep
vs Cape Verde Islands
3–1
W
31 Mar
@ Russia
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rwanda and Mali.
On our numbers Rwanda have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Mali 55%.
How many goals will there be in Rwanda vs Mali?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rwanda vs Mali?
Our predicted score is Rwanda 1–1 Mali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rwanda vs Mali?
Rwanda vs Mali (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Amahoro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
