Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111% · fair 8.78
Mauritania vs Burkina Faso preview and prediction
The match
The Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification sees Mauritania take on Burkina Faso on Tuesday 17 November, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stade Cheikha Ould Boidiya. Mauritania are 3rd with 7 points from 6 games, while Burkina Faso sit 2nd on 10 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mauritania's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Benin 1–2 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Burkina Faso's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Argentina 0–7 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Mauritania and 1.4 for Burkina Faso. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 48%.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance. Predicted score: Mauritania 1–1 Burkina Faso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mauritania38%fair 2.63
Draw11%fair 9.09
Burkina Faso51%fair 1.96
2.50Expected goals
1.11Mauritania xG
1.39Burkina Faso xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Mauritania 1.1 – 1.4 Burkina Faso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burkina Faso to win
51%
1.96
–
Double chance
Either team to win
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burkina Faso / FT Burkina Faso
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
11%
8.78
–
Form
Mauritania – last 5
LWWDL
29 Sep
@ Benin
1–2
L
24 Sep
vs Central African Republic
3–1
W
8 Jun
@ Niger
1–0
W
5 Jun
@ Angola
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Argentina
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Burkina Faso – last 6
LWDDLD
4 Oct
@ Argentina
0–7
L
28 Sep
@ Central African Republic
1–0
W
25 Sep
vs Benin
1–1
D
9 Jun
@ Belarus
2–2
D
5 Jun
@ Russia
0–3
L
31 Mar
vs Guinea-Bissau
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mauritania and Burkina Faso.
What is the prediction for Mauritania vs Burkina Faso?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance.
Who will win Mauritania vs Burkina Faso?
On our numbers Mauritania have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Burkina Faso 51%.
How many goals will there be in Mauritania vs Burkina Faso?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mauritania vs Burkina Faso?
Our predicted score is Mauritania 1–1 Burkina Faso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mauritania vs Burkina Faso?
Mauritania vs Burkina Faso (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Cheikha Ould Boidiya.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
