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Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Bingu National Stadium

Malawi

LWDL
Tue 17 Nov 2026

Egypt

LWDLD

Malawi vs Egypt prediction & analysis

80%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25

9/10Rating
–Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultEgypt to win61% · fair 1.64
Double chanceEither team to win89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.14

Malawi vs Egypt preview and prediction

The match

Malawi host Egypt in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Tuesday 17 November, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Bingu National Stadium. Malawi are 3rd with 4 points from 6 games, while Egypt sit 1st on 14 points.

Form guide

Malawi's last 4: LWDL Most recently they lost to Angola 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Egypt's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to South Africa 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.1 for Malawi and 1.9 for Egypt. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 52%.

Betting angles

Prediction

Our pick: Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance. Predicted score: Malawi 1–1 Egypt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Malawi28%fair 3.57
Draw11%fair 9.09
Egypt61%fair 1.64
3.00Expected goals
1.12Malawi xG
1.88Egypt xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%

From our goals model: Malawi 1.1 – 1.9 Egypt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEgypt to win61%1.64–
Double chanceEither team to win89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.94–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.55–
Half-time resultEgypt ahead at half-time41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Egypt / FT Egypt35%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.14–

Form

Malawi – last 4

LWDL
6 Oct@ Angola1–3L
25 Sepvs South Sudan2–1W
9 Jun@ Ethiopia1–1D
6 Jun@ Ethiopia0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Egypt – last 6

LWDLDD
4 Octvs South Africa0–1L
29 Sep@ South Sudan5–0W
25 Sepvs Angola0–0D
7 Jul@ Argentina2–3L
3 Jul@ Australia1–1D
27 Junvs Iran1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Malawi and Egypt.

Malawi vs Egypt head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Egypt6420+1014
2Botswana6222-38
3Mauritania6213-37
4Cape Verde Islands6114-44

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Malawi vs Egypt?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance.

Who will win Malawi vs Egypt?

On our numbers Malawi have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Egypt 61%.

How many goals will there be in Malawi vs Egypt?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Malawi vs Egypt?

Our predicted score is Malawi 1–1 Egypt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Malawi vs Egypt?

Malawi vs Egypt (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Bingu National Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.