Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115% · fair 6.69
Lesotho vs Gabon preview and prediction
The match
The Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification sees Lesotho take on Gabon on Tuesday 17 November, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Peter Mokaba Stadium. Lesotho are 3rd with 4 points from 6 games, while Gabon sit 2nd on 10 points.
Form guide
Lesotho's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Morocco 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Gabon's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Niger 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Lesotho and 1.1 for Gabon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lesotho 39%, draw 11%, Gabon 50%.
Prediction
Our prediction: Under 3.5 goals – a 86% chance. Predicted score: Lesotho 0–1 Gabon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lesotho39%fair 2.56
Draw11%fair 9.09
Gabon50%fair 2.00
2.00Expected goals
0.89Lesotho xG
1.11Gabon xG
44%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Lesotho 0.9 – 1.1 Gabon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gabon to win
50%
2.00
–
Double chance
Either team to win
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gabon / FT Gabon
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
15%
6.69
–
Form
Lesotho – last 6
LLLDWD
29 Sep
vs Morocco
0–2
L
25 Sep
@ Niger
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Kenya
0–4
L
4 Jun
vs Kenya
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Seychelles
2–1
W
26 Mar
@ Seychelles
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gabon – last 3
WLL
29 Sep
vs Niger
2–0
W
25 Sep
@ Morocco
0–2
L
27 Mar
@ Uzbekistan
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lesotho and Gabon.
On our numbers Lesotho have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Gabon 50%.
How many goals will there be in Lesotho vs Gabon?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lesotho vs Gabon?
Our predicted score is Lesotho 0–1 Gabon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Lesotho vs Gabon?
Lesotho vs Gabon (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Peter Mokaba Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
