Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–37% · fair 15.08
Kenya vs South Africa preview and prediction
The match
Kenya host South Africa in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Tuesday 17 November, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Nyayo National Stadium. Kenya are 3rd with 6 points from 6 games, while South Africa sit 1st on 14 points.
Form guide
Kenya's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Guinea 0–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
South Africa's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Egypt 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
South Africa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Kenya and 1.8 for South Africa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kenya 24%, draw 11%, South Africa 65%.
Prediction
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance. Predicted score: Kenya 0–2 South Africa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kenya24%fair 4.17
Draw11%fair 9.09
South Africa65%fair 1.54
2.75Expected goals
0.91Kenya xG
1.84South Africa xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Kenya 0.9 – 1.8 South Africa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Africa to win
65%
1.54
–
Double chance
Either team to win
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
South Africa ahead at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Africa / FT South Africa
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3
7%
15.08
–
Form
Kenya – last 5
LDWDW
1 Oct
@ Guinea
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Eritrea
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Lesotho
4–0
W
4 Jun
@ Lesotho
1–1
D
30 Mar
@ Grenada
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
South Africa – last 6
WWWLWD
4 Oct
@ Egypt
1–0
W
30 Sep
@ Eritrea
5–0
W
26 Sep
vs Guinea
2–1
W
28 Jun
vs Canada
0–1
L
25 Jun
vs South Korea
1–0
W
18 Jun
@ Czechia
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kenya and South Africa.
On our numbers Kenya have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 11% and South Africa 65%.
How many goals will there be in Kenya vs South Africa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kenya vs South Africa?
Our predicted score is Kenya 0–2 South Africa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kenya vs South Africa?
Kenya vs South Africa (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nyayo National Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
