Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.86
Ethiopia vs Mozambique preview and prediction
The match
Ethiopia host Mozambique in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Tuesday 17 November, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Ethiopia are 4th with 4 points from 6 games, while Mozambique sit 2nd on 11 points.
Form guide
Ethiopia's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Senegal 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mozambique's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Sudan 4–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Ethiopia and 1.1 for Mozambique. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 83% chance. Predicted score: Ethiopia 1–1 Mozambique. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ethiopia45%fair 2.22
Draw13%fair 7.69
Mozambique42%fair 2.38
2.17Expected goals
1.11Ethiopia xG
1.06Mozambique xG
46%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Ethiopia 1.1 – 1.1 Mozambique expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethiopia to win
45%
2.22
–
Double chance
Either team to win
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ethiopia / FT Ethiopia
21%
4.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.86
–
Form
Ethiopia – last 6
LLDWWW
29 Sep
vs Senegal
0–1
L
25 Sep
@ Sudan
0–1
L
9 Jun
vs Malawi
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Malawi
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Sao Tome and Principe
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Sao Tome and Principe
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mozambique – last 3
WDL
29 Sep
vs Sudan
4–1
W
25 Sep
vs Senegal
1–1
D
9 Jun
@ Indonesia
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ethiopia and Mozambique.
What is the prediction for Ethiopia vs Mozambique?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance.
Who will win Ethiopia vs Mozambique?
On our numbers Ethiopia have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Mozambique 42%.
How many goals will there be in Ethiopia vs Mozambique?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethiopia vs Mozambique?
Our predicted score is Ethiopia 1–1 Mozambique, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ethiopia vs Mozambique?
Ethiopia vs Mozambique (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
