South Africa travel to Al Salam Stadium in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Wednesday 30 September (17:00 WAT) to face Eritrea.
Form guide
Eritrea's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Kenya 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
South Africa's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Guinea 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Eritrea arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.5 for Eritrea and 2.0 for South Africa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Eritrea 11%, draw 17%, South Africa 72%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was South Africa to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Eritrea 0–1 South Africa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eritrea11%fair 9.24 · @8.50
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @5.00
South Africa72%fair 1.38 · @1.25
2.50Expected goals
0.55Eritrea xG
1.95South Africa xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–216%
0–310%
1–19%
1–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Eritrea 0.5 – 2.0 South Africa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Africa to win✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Double chance
South Africa or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
South Africa ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Africa / FT South Africa✓
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.23
–
Form
Eritrea – last 3
DWW
26 Sep
@ Kenya
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Eswatini
2–1
W
25 Mar
vs Eswatini
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
South Africa – last 6
WLWDLD
26 Sep
vs Guinea
2–1
W
28 Jun
vs Canada
0–1
L
25 Jun
vs South Korea
1–0
W
18 Jun
@ Czechia
1–1
D
11 Jun
@ Mexico
0–2
L
29 May
vs Nicaragua
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eritrea and South Africa.
What is the prediction for Eritrea vs South Africa?
Our pick is South Africa to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Eritrea vs South Africa?
On our numbers Eritrea have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 17% and South Africa 72%.
How many goals will there be in Eritrea vs South Africa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eritrea vs South Africa?
Our predicted score is Eritrea 0–1 South Africa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Eritrea vs South Africa?
Eritrea vs South Africa (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Al Salam Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
