Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Monza to win @ 1.84 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonza to win ✗59% · @1.84
Double chanceMonza or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Monza vs Catanzaro preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Monza take on Catanzaro on Friday 29 May, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at U-Power Stadium.
Form guide
Monza's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Catanzaro 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Catanzaro's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Monza 0–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Monza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Catanzaro 0–2 Monza. Across their last 2 meetings Monza have won 1, Catanzaro 0, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Monza and 0.9 for Catanzaro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monza 59%, draw 22%, Catanzaro 19%.
Safer route: Monza or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Monza to win at 1.84 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Monza or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Monza 1–0 Catanzaro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monza59%fair 1.70 · @1.84
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.80
Catanzaro19%fair 5.36 · @3.80
2.75Expected goals
1.83Monza xG
0.92Catanzaro xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Monza 1.8 – 0.9 Catanzaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Monza or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Monza vs Catanzaro?
On our numbers Monza have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Catanzaro 19%.
How many goals will there be in Monza vs Catanzaro?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monza vs Catanzaro?
Our predicted score is Monza 1–0 Catanzaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Monza vs Catanzaro?
Monza vs Catanzaro (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at U-Power Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
