Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Tepatitlán to win @ 1.77 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTepatitlán to win ✓65% · @1.77
Double chanceTepatitlán or draw ✓90% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.62
Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero preview and prediction
The match
CDS Tampico Madero travel to face Tepatitlán in the Liga De Expansión MX on Sunday 24 May (02:00 WAT). Tepatitlán are 16th with 7 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while CDS Tampico Madero sit 14th on 15 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Tepatitlán's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat CDS Tampico Madero 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
CDS Tampico Madero's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Tepatitlán 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
CDS Tampico Madero arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Tepatitlán 1–0 CDS Tampico Madero.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Tepatitlán and 0.5 for CDS Tampico Madero. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Tepatitlán to win at 1.77 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tepatitlán 1–0 CDS Tampico Madero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tepatitlán65%fair 1.53 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.30
CDS Tampico Madero10%fair 9.79 · @5.00
2.27Expected goals
1.73Tepatitlán xG
0.54CDS Tampico Madero xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Tepatitlán 1.7 – 0.5 CDS Tampico Madero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?
On our numbers Tepatitlán have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CDS Tampico Madero 10%.
How many goals will there be in Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our predicted score is Tepatitlán 1–0 CDS Tampico Madero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
