Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.65 – our chance 55% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +100%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗55% · @3.65
Double chanceAFC Malmo or draw ✗81% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗11% · fair 8.94
Olympic vs AFC Malmo preview and prediction
The match
The Svenska Cupen sees Olympic take on AFC Malmo on Tuesday 26 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Olympic's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Rosengård 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
AFC Malmo's last 4: WLWW Most recently they beat Skövde AIK 4–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AFC Malmo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Olympic and 1.6 for AFC Malmo. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Olympic 19%, draw 55%, AFC Malmo 26%.
Safer route: AFC Malmo or draw (81%) at 1.40.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Draw at 3.65 – 55% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AFC Malmo or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Olympic 1–1 AFC Malmo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olympic19%fair 5.18 · @2.80
Draw55%fair 1.82 · @3.65
AFC Malmo26%fair 3.86 · @2.10
3.00Expected goals
1.42Olympic xG
1.57AFC Malmo xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Olympic 1.4 – 1.6 AFC Malmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
55%
1.82
3.65 ▲
Double chance
AFC Malmo or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Malmo / FT AFC Malmo✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
11%
8.94
–
Form
Olympic – last 6
LLLWLL
23 May
@ Rosengård
1–2
L
17 May
vs Atvidabergs FF
2–3
L
14 May
@ Tvååker
0–1
L
9 May
vs Kristianstad
2–0
W
2 May
@ trelleborgs FF
1–2
L
17 Apr
@ Hässleholms IF
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AFC Malmo – last 4
WLWW
23 May
@ Skövde AIK
4–0
W
18 May
vs Tvååker
0–1
L
14 May
@ Trollhättan
2–0
W
8 May
vs Hässleholms IF
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olympic and AFC Malmo.
Our pick is AFC Malmo or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Olympic vs AFC Malmo?
On our numbers Olympic have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 55% and AFC Malmo 26%.
How many goals will there be in Olympic vs AFC Malmo?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olympic vs AFC Malmo?
Our predicted score is Olympic 1–1 AFC Malmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Olympic vs AFC Malmo?
Olympic vs AFC Malmo (Svenska Cupen) kicks off on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
