Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Fenix to win @ 2.35 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFenix to win ✗46% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.70
Miramar vs Fenix preview and prediction
The match
Miramar host Fenix in the Segunda División on Monday 25 May, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Parque Palermo. Miramar are 11th with 33 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Fenix sit 12th on 31 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Miramar's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Rentistas 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Fenix's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Tacuarembo 1–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Fenix arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Miramar and 1.3 for Fenix. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Miramar 31%, draw 22%, Fenix 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Fenix to win at 2.35 – 46% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Miramar 1–1 Fenix. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Miramar31%fair 3.19 · @2.85
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Fenix46%fair 2.16 · @2.35
2.31Expected goals
1.00Miramar xG
1.31Fenix xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Miramar 1.0 – 1.3 Fenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fenix to win✗
46%
2.16
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fenix / FT Fenix✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.70
–
Form
Miramar – last 6
LDDLWL
17 May
@ Rentistas
0–1
L
10 May
vs CA River Plate
1–1
D
29 Apr
@ Rentistas
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Oriental
1–2
L
7 Apr
vs CA River Plate
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Paysandu
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Fenix – last 5
LWWWD
17 May
vs Tacuarembo
1–2
L
3 May
vs Oriental
1–0
W
27 Apr
@ Atenas
4–1
W
5 Apr
vs Tacuarembo
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Uruguay Montevideo
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miramar and Fenix.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Miramar vs Fenix?
On our numbers Miramar have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fenix 46%.
How many goals will there be in Miramar vs Fenix?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miramar vs Fenix?
Our predicted score is Miramar 1–1 Fenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Miramar vs Fenix?
Miramar vs Fenix (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
