Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.77Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Najma to win ✓65% · @1.77
Double chanceAl Najma or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.82
Al Najma vs Manama preview and prediction
The match
Al Najma host Manama in the Premier League on Saturday 30 May, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Al Najma are 8th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Manama sit 11th on 6 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Najma's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Budaiya 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Al Najma and 0.7 for Manama. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 43%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Najma 65%, draw 22%, Manama 13%.
Safer route: Al Najma or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Najma to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.77, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Najma 1–0 Manama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Najma65%fair 1.53 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.65
Manama13%fair 7.82 · @3.80
2.54Expected goals
1.86Al Najma xG
0.68Manama xG
43%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Al Najma 1.9 – 0.7 Manama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Najma to win✓
65%
1.53
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Al Najma or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Al Najma ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Najma / FT Al Najma✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.82
–
Form
Al Najma – last 6
WWLLLD
25 May
@ Budaiya
3–0
W
21 May
vs Al Ittihad
2–1
W
4 May
vs Muharraq
1–3
L
28 Apr
@ Malkiya
0–3
L
16 Apr
vs Budaiya
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Al Shabab
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Manama – last 2
WW
25 May
vs Al Ittihad
3–0
W
21 May
@ Budaiya
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najma and Manama.
Our pick is Al Najma to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Al Najma vs Manama?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Manama 13%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs Manama?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs Manama?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 1–0 Manama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs Manama?
Al Najma vs Manama (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Ittihad0
Budaiya1