Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Cruz Azul or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Cruz Azul to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruz Azul to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.10
Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas preview and prediction
The match
U.N.A.M. - Pumas travel to Estadio Azteca in the Liga MX on Friday 22 May (03:00 WAT) to face Cruz Azul. Cruz Azul are 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cruz Azul's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Guadalajara Chivas 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat CF Pachuca 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Cruz Azul arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2–2 Cruz Azul.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Cruz Azul and 0.9 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Cruz Azul to win at 1.70 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cruz Azul or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cruz Azul 2–0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruz Azul64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.85
U.N.A.M. - Pumas16%fair 6.24 · @4.45
2.93Expected goals
2.03Cruz Azul xG
0.90U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 2.0 – 0.9 U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our pick is Cruz Azul or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 2–0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Liga MX) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
