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South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSouth Melbourne to win ✓74% · @1.13
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✓95% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.03

South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United preview and prediction

The match

The sees South Melbourne take on Vanuatu United on Wednesday 20 May, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT).

Form guide

South Melbourne's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Sunshine Georgies 0–4 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Vanuatu United's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Bula 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Vanuatu United 2–0 South Melbourne.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.7 for South Melbourne and 0.8 for Vanuatu United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: South Melbourne 3–0 Vanuatu United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

South Melbourne74%fair 1.35 · @1.13
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @6.00
Vanuatu United5%fair 18.64 · @15.00
3.47Expected goals
2.68South Melbourne xG
0.79Vanuatu United xG
49%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–08%
3–18%
4–07%

From our goals model: South Melbourne 2.7 – 0.8 Vanuatu United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Melbourne to win ✓74%1.351.13
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✓95%1.06–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.98–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.831.65
Half-time resultSouth Melbourne ahead at half-time ✓57%1.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne ✓54%1.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%10.03–

Form

South Melbourne – last 6

LWWLWL
18 Mayvs Sunshine Georgies0–4L
12 Mayvs Bula4–2W
9 Mayvs South Island United4–2W
8 May@ Heidelberg United0–4L
6 May@ Auckland FC 22–1W
1 Mayvs Melbourne City II1–2L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Vanuatu United – last 6

DDWWLL
17 May@ Bula1–1D
13 May@ Tahiti United2–2D
10 May@ Solomon Kings3–2W
7 Mayvs Hekari United3–1W
17 Apr@ Tahiti United0–1L
14 Apr@ Solomon Kings2–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Vanuatu United v South Melbourne2–0
South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United?

On our numbers South Melbourne have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vanuatu United 5%.

How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United?

Our predicted score is South Melbourne 3–0 Vanuatu United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United?

South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United () kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.