Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMotril to win ✗62% · @1.44
Double chanceMotril or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.13
Motril vs Churriana Vega preview and prediction
The match
Motril host Churriana Vega in the Tercera División RFEF Group 9 on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). Motril are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Churriana Vega sit 7th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Motril's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Churriana Vega 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Churriana Vega's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Motril 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Churriana Vega 1–1 Motril.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Motril and 0.7 for Churriana Vega. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 48%.
Our pre-match pick was Motril to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Motril 1–0 Churriana Vega. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Motril62%fair 1.61 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.60
Churriana Vega18%fair 5.57 · @6.00
2.29Expected goals
1.61Motril xG
0.68Churriana Vega xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Motril 1.6 – 0.7 Churriana Vega expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Motril vs Churriana Vega?
Our pick is Motril to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Motril vs Churriana Vega?
On our numbers Motril have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Churriana Vega 18%.
How many goals will there be in Motril vs Churriana Vega?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motril vs Churriana Vega?
Our predicted score is Motril 1–0 Churriana Vega, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Motril vs Churriana Vega?
Motril vs Churriana Vega (Tercera División RFEF Group 9) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
