Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Premier League · Jamaica · Stadium East
0–1
FT

Cavalier vs Montego Bay United prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Cavalier to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultMontego Bay United to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓9% · fair 10.68

Cavalier vs Montego Bay United preview and prediction

The match

Cavalier host Montego Bay United in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Stadium East. Cavalier are 9th with 10 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Montego Bay United sit 4th on 16 points (in the top four).

Form guide

Cavalier's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Waterhouse 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Montego Bay United's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Mount Pleasant Academy 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Montego Bay United 3–1 Cavalier. Across their last 2 meetings Cavalier have won 0, Montego Bay United 2, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Cavalier and 1.5 for Montego Bay United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Cavalier 1–1 Montego Bay United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Cavalier35%fair 2.85 · @3.20
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.40
Montego Bay United44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
2.76Expected goals
1.28Cavalier xG
1.48Montego Bay United xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Cavalier 1.3 – 1.5 Montego Bay United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMontego Bay United to win ✓44%2.262.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.341.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.421.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Montego Bay United / FT Montego Bay United ✗25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓9%10.68–

Form

Cavalier – last 6

WDWLWD
14 May@ Waterhouse2–0W
11 Mayvs Waterhouse2–2D
6 Mayvs Harbour View2–1W
24 Apr@ Arnett Gardens1–2L
20 Aprvs Spanish Town Police3–0W
15 Aprvs Portmore United0–0D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Montego Bay United – last 6

LWLWDW
6 May@ Mount Pleasant Academy1–2L
22 Aprvs Tivoli Gardens5–1W
16 Apr@ Arnett Gardens0–1L
29 Marvs Cavalier3–1W
25 Mar@ Molynes United1–1D
18 Marvs Dunbeholden4–3W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Montego Bay United v Cavalier3–1
15 Feb 2026Montego Bay United v Cavalier1–0
Cavalier vs Montego Bay United head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tru-Juice9621+1420
2Waterhouse8530+1618
3Racing United9522+817
4Montego Bay United9441+516
5Mount Pleasant Academy8422014
6Tivoli Gardens9333+512
7Arnett Gardens8242+410
8Portmore United7241+410
9Cavalier7313-110
10Chapelton9243-710
11Dunbeholden9216-87
12Molynes United9216-117
13Treasure Beach9135-106
14Humble Lions8026-192

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cavalier vs Montego Bay United?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Cavalier vs Montego Bay United?

On our numbers Cavalier have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Montego Bay United 44%.

How many goals will there be in Cavalier vs Montego Bay United?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cavalier vs Montego Bay United?

Our predicted score is Cavalier 1–1 Montego Bay United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Cavalier vs Montego Bay United?

Cavalier vs Montego Bay United (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium East.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.