Value bet: Cavalier to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMontego Bay United to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓9% · fair 10.68
Cavalier vs Montego Bay United preview and prediction
The match
Cavalier host Montego Bay United in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Stadium East. Cavalier are 9th with 10 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Montego Bay United sit 4th on 16 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Cavalier's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Waterhouse 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Montego Bay United's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Mount Pleasant Academy 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Montego Bay United 3–1 Cavalier. Across their last 2 meetings Cavalier have won 0, Montego Bay United 2, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Cavalier and 1.5 for Montego Bay United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cavalier 35%, draw 21%, Montego Bay United 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Cavalier to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Cavalier 1–1 Montego Bay United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cavalier35%fair 2.85 · @3.20
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.40
Montego Bay United44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
2.76Expected goals
1.28Cavalier xG
1.48Montego Bay United xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Cavalier 1.3 – 1.5 Montego Bay United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cavalier vs Montego Bay United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cavalier vs Montego Bay United?
On our numbers Cavalier have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Montego Bay United 44%.
How many goals will there be in Cavalier vs Montego Bay United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cavalier vs Montego Bay United?
Our predicted score is Cavalier 1–1 Montego Bay United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cavalier vs Montego Bay United?
Cavalier vs Montego Bay United (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium East.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.